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d4qpeznlow
daily-coinflip-dlhynlse9u
Daily coinflip
null
1,728,713,789,762
1,728,878,340,000
1,728,879,308,171
NO
0.5
13,216.37651
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation
k183SnaVSA0gOaJknmof
over-45-publicly-recorded-immolatio
Over 4.5 publicly recorded immolations in the United States before EoD November 5th.
null
1,713,585,311,670
1,730,959,140,000
1,731,682,639,039
YES
0.233671
226.108572
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
RLjSOEEFyVGak8wHPHpC
will-hage-geingob-be-president-of-n
Will Hage Geingob be president of Namibia at the end of 2024?
null
1,673,203,640,783
1,732,886,998,490
1,732,886,998,490
NO
0.128028
327.281242
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
eZlWpps8rfw3Sq8BMUoe
will-elon-be-revealed-to-be-funding
Will Elon be revealed to be funding some of the larger anon/troll accounts on X during election season?
null
1,706,426,326,570
1,730,926,568,098
1,730,926,568,098
NO
0.044632
1,569.601549
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
i3DlctEXxnMxK4uPSChp
will-bryan-caplan-be-satisfied-with
Will Bryan Caplan be satisfied with the state of the George Mason Just Societies situation on Dec 1st 2024?
null
1,712,017,996,329
1,733,126,340,000
1,733,153,890,657
NO
0.316296
60
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
0nlYTzXipsZMfMqq5U4D
will-there-be-51-or-more-us-states
Will there be 51 or more U.S. states by the 2024 Presidential Election?
null
1,662,095,431,063
1,730,879,940,000
1,730,906,788,207
NO
0.010396
5,866.372426
Politics
Government Structure
6i7v7PcXGKp7LonbsKNs
will-saudi-arabia-king-salman-live
Will Saudi Arabia king Salman live in the end of 2024?
null
1,716,183,946,694
1,735,682,340,000
1,735,682,629,867
YES
0.981296
7,910.38188
Geopolitics
Regional Affairs
9dSsqAU0qh
will-bitcoin-be-higher-than-75000-u
Will Bitcoin be higher than $75,000 USD at the end of November 2024?
null
1,731,238,193,609
1,733,011,140,000
1,733,046,480,119
YES
0.99
928.059526
Finance
Markets & Trading
fpMBqkzve1Ht6fbQGdlL
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-85755b10e865
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Ohio?
null
1,690,200,981,036
1,730,950,514,159
1,730,950,514,159
YES
0.99
1,514.375765
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
9h89E9gNL2
bitcoin-above-70k-on-nov-6
Bitcoin above 70K on Nov 6?
null
1,730,251,836,370
1,730,880,577,428
1,730,880,577,428
YES
0.945556
8,230.359426
Finance
Markets & Trading
x5dpidirk7
will-california-voters-pass-the-dru
Will California voters pass Proposition 36 — Drug and Theft Crime Penalties and Treatment-Mandated Felonies Initiative?
null
1,718,592,890,347
1,730,966,340,000
1,731,861,778,444
YES
0.989327
10,038.52374
Politics
Domestic Policy
TNq46o4TeqK96Q5et4So
will-the-amount-of-hate-crimes-in-t
Will the amount of hate crimes in the U.S. go up in 2023?
null
1,698,808,796,328
1,727,145,771,632
1,727,145,771,632
YES
0.96
3,410.193307
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
fROcrXsy1QDTvpz6Ll4l
will-global-total-co2-emissions-be
Will global total CO2 emissions be below 40 billion tons in 2023 as estimated by Our World in Data?
null
1,671,465,302,207
1,732,340,410,576
1,732,340,410,576
NO
0.009935
10,640.907591
Finance
Economic Indicators
etnj6gvyo2
will-there-be-another-serious-assas-2p8np9t2iy
Will there be another serious assassination attempt against Trump?
null
1,726,435,284,876
1,730,847,540,000
1,730,849,866,935
NO
0.019906
178,437.959027
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
vhLAue2Uh3WllvUDhWW3
nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-buff
NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Buffalo Bills (home) beat the Miami Dolphins (away)?
null
1,715,834,172,328
1,730,829,600,000
1,731,291,738,783
YES
0.987429
1,043.561284
Sports
Professional Sports
2q5ggndzfg
does-manifold-think-the-sweepstakes
Does Manifold think the sweepstakes are a good idea?
null
1,726,658,642,518
1,729,137,540,000
1,729,162,217,020
YES
0.95
4,372.755375
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
RIgPLdU6h9
will-deepseek-release-a-deepseek-v3
Will DeepSeek release a DeepSeek V3 model by the end of Q1 2025
null
1,733,923,231,727
1,735,191,610,387
1,735,191,610,387
YES
0.939162
2,929
Technology
Emerging Technologies
40cOlfbyzDaxMvlwIXP0
will-chatgpt-get-the-monty-from-hel
Will ChatGPT get the "Monty from Hell" problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024?
null
1,701,562,887,145
1,733,118,024,214
1,733,118,024,214
YES
0.877847
1,389.977682
Technology
Emerging Technologies
AuVRc8mAIU68fbiAj31m
will-my-coolfold-financial-portfoli
Will the CoolFold Financial Portfolio outperform the S&P 500 over the next 6 months?
null
1,714,242,768,733
1,730,438,355,023
1,730,438,355,023
NO
0.018925
10,951.914799
Finance
Markets & Trading
fg5xxjg8bv
will-thuringias-constitutional-cour
Will Thuringia's constitutional court rule in favor of the urgent motion against the AfD?
null
1,727,442,722,766
1,727,473,275,761
1,727,473,275,761
YES
0.76
80
Politics
Government Structure
GI821GQbmm0iRFkTT6NQ
will-costcos-in-us-further-devalue-ab22f774fa11
Will Costcos in US further devalue their hot dog and soda combo before the end of 2024?
null
1,683,566,008,823
1,735,682,340,000
1,735,686,439,324
NO
0.01
1,616.972643
Finance
Personal Finance
q2QSpPOllh
will-i-be-demoted-to-platinum-this-uU56hnZqgS
Will I be demoted to Platinum this month?
null
1,730,906,133,250
1,733,177,982,330
1,733,177,982,330
NO
0.01
1,241.566889
Sports
Individual Sports
3Eu2EULeucc99X2lOxAZ
matthew-yglesias-2024-predictions-f
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Fed cuts interest rates at least fifty basis points
null
1,704,256,491,993
1,726,776,732,646
1,726,776,732,646
YES
0.99
33,591.651047
Finance
Economic Indicators
ngM2g9vmyXALypDDj6lF
will-donald-trump-win-the-popular-v
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote but lose the EC vote, or lose the popular vote but win the EC vote?
null
1,710,404,092,429
1,731,083,507,298
1,731,083,507,298
NO
0.01
11,884.423373
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
woiVbQjfBSdAiFv7Jiyu
will-russia-unilaterally-reconstitu
Will Russia unilaterally reconstitute own government of Ukraine with self-appointed authorities in 2024?
null
1,717,099,130,833
1,735,682,340,000
1,735,687,537,697
NO
0.026909
5,905.011333
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
ioweevjcjw
will-the-east-coast-usa-port-strike
Will the east coast USA port strike result in substantial additional restrictions on automation?
null
1,727,783,828,566
1,728,213,634,360
1,728,213,634,360
NO
0.01
11,011.550061
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
pjzg0pzivv
will-jd-vance-be-a-guest-on-the-lex
Will JD Vance be a guest on the Lex Fridman Podcast before election day 2024?
null
1,725,400,540,238
1,730,805,847,813
1,730,805,847,813
NO
0.010001
10,400.499949
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
seq7dllacf
will-the-apprentice-the-donald-trum
Will "The Apprentice" (the Donald Trump biopic) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of >75%?
null
1,728,151,139,451
1,729,284,589,692
1,729,284,589,692
YES
0.99
996.515307
Entertainment
Movies & Television
tAP8SuzI0u
will-bitcoin-hit-an-all-time-high-b
Will Bitcoin hit an all time high before US election winner is called?
null
1,730,282,921,505
1,730,872,861,632
1,730,872,861,632
YES
0.986197
1,165.467594
Finance
Markets & Trading
obewzSutKpgMo9y8SrWH
if-the-republican-nominee-wins-ariz
If the Republican nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)?
null
1,690,425,818,556
1,731,431,333,970
1,731,431,333,970
YES
0.99
1,392.89144
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
c5SOzUZAhA
will-the-winnipeg-jets-have-34-poin--cash
Will the Winnipeg Jets have 34 points by end of November
null
1,729,872,650,571
1,732,409,671,577
1,732,578,465,421
YES
0.99
1,280.06872
Sports
Professional Sports
DuptY9J28bn5jqM4SWRI
will-adam-schiff-win-the-2024-senat
Will Adam Schiff win the 2024 senate seat in California?
null
1,680,635,170,825
1,733,253,275,103
1,733,253,275,103
YES
0.99
6,174.734452
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
5w2nutur4o
if-kamala-harris-debates-donald-tru
Will Kamala Harris win the debate against Trump? (based on polls)
null
1,720,309,280,670
1,726,862,976,462
1,726,862,976,462
YES
0.99
171,935.719882
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
T452czizPGGSbCUGxDnV
is-going-to-be-a-al-smith-dinner-wi
Will there be a Al Smith dinner with both presidential candidates attending and delivering stand-up routines in 2024?
null
1,690,077,781,583
1,729,471,331,416
1,729,471,331,416
NO
0.17
1,489.146596
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
WGfHCzM2m4Q2gv3PPRem
will-at-least-one-person-be-killed-8a035197f2a8
Will at least one person be killed violently within the Temple Mount/Al Aqsa compound during Ramadan 2024?
null
1,710,032,671,996
1,733,452,497,832
1,733,452,497,832
NO
0.070766
419.671862
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
q4L3LSydJzvOQRKDfFwm
will-bte-release-an-early-version-o
Will @BTE release an early version of his Manifold competitor by Christmas?
null
1,702,017,915,857
1,703,566,740,000
1,733,719,876,441
NO
0.084702
2,885.265053
Technology
Emerging Technologies
93ub0uqehz
conservative-party-leadership-conte-t74g95grt5
Conservative Party leadership contest - will it go to the members?
null
1,722,249,032,379
1,728,860,340,000
1,728,896,480,020
YES
0.99
13,352.016593
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
a3vve5zfnw
will-brazil-unban-x-before-october
Will Brazil unban X before October?
null
1,725,356,729,438
1,728,028,568,699
1,728,028,568,699
NO
0.01
2,398.577629
Politics
Domestic Policy
wt4d9y4dzo
will-donald-trump-use-the-fifty-cen
Will Donald Trump use the Fifty Cent song "Many Men" in any public appearance during the 2024 campaign?
null
1,721,009,830,813
1,730,846,294,330
1,730,846,294,330
NO
0.009894
118,368.663925
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
CfGVdb4Kc1i6uG3CJ4h1
will-tom-brady-endorse-trump
Will Tom Brady endorse Trump?
null
1,668,664,664,132
1,730,926,092,894
1,730,926,092,894
NO
0.01
14,254.3687
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
ghYFFOJMMN20wBqRIdSD
hn-hiring-trends-will-hiring-outnum-9dbca1d59983
HN Hiring Trends: Will "hiring" outnumber "looking" before the end of 2024?
null
1,697,371,158,617
1,735,656,831,849
1,735,656,831,849
NO
0.027207
6,596.874132
Finance
Economic Indicators
DdSwShjXEfuwuY4DeNMk
will-a-category-3-or-greater-hurric-f7bebc1ae65b
Will a Category 3 or greater hurricane make landfall in Florida during 2024?
null
1,704,828,755,718
1,727,465,039,221
1,727,465,039,221
YES
0.99
26,307.460017
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
zkfrgvp91o
-shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-2zcriigoqr
🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds
null
1,727,043,663,967
1,727,058,063,542
1,727,058,145,609
NO
null
1,037.801319
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation
p9sz11qvh5
will-apple-fitness-app-show-that-i
Will Apple Fitness app show that I walked more than 9500 steps today?
null
1,728,111,216,994
1,728,137,858,912
1,728,137,858,912
YES
0.99
894.987437
Technology
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
tsr1tqausf
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-xx6rheb05d
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 1 than it closed on Sept 30?
null
1,727,726,780,345
1,727,812,918,118
1,727,812,918,118
NO
0.02
1,838.257223
Finance
Markets & Trading
xQ5XItczkaGZEzSQ2UU0
will-dragons-dogma-2-win-any-awards
Will Dragon's Dogma 2 win any awards at the Game Awards 2024?
null
1,709,288,711,296
1,734,061,645,527
1,734,061,645,527
NO
0.010049
1,288.55416
Gaming
Video Games
8s0O6qsN0s
will-the-neurips-poster-printing-se
Will the NeurIPS poster printing service have our poster ready in time?
null
1,734,106,799,757
1,734,115,950,495
1,734,115,950,495
YES
0.99
9,661.635643
Technology
Computing & Software
qtD9uG3hXeNW2XVXyPMR
will-any-2024-us-senate-election-be
Will any 2024 U.S. Senate election be won without the majority of the vote?
null
1,689,382,967,822
1,733,032,740,000
1,733,044,425,469
YES
0.99
2,294.916164
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
9i6zaAWEubEy3lFi1ZWS
will-matt-gaetz-be-reelected-in-nov
Will Matt Gaetz be re-elected in November 2024?
null
1,697,133,998,706
1,730,782,740,000
1,732,943,725,989
YES
0.97225
1,378.07615
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
EoeZLDGwZIpr0YxqC5Dh
nfl-week-13-dec-1-2024-will-the-buf
NFL Week 13 (Dec 1 2024): Will the Buffalo Bills (home) beat the San Francisco 49ers (away)?
null
1,715,834,498,874
1,733,275,200,000
1,733,810,597,200
YES
0.99
894.987437
Sports
Professional Sports
8sv8ylqf3t
will-propalestinian-college-protest
Will pro-Palestinian college protests begin again in earnest and will Kamala Harris’s youth support decline?
null
1,725,234,318,631
1,728,947,615,937
1,728,947,898,256
NO
0.06
310.258784
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
v8alcq880o
will-republicans-lead-in-the-final
Will Republicans lead in the final 538 House forecast?
null
1,729,296,007,453
1,730,696,340,000
1,730,821,664,037
NO
0.766257
1,574.926875
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
qIuRdgtSdZ
will-bay-bridge-traffic-be-halted-f--cash
Will Bay Bridge traffic be halted for 2+ hours on Election Day?
null
1,730,834,643,263
1,730,912,025,433
1,730,933,184,657
NO
0.097334
52
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
pU4xeOHpftaMGFT17zfg
will-bitcoin-reach-8765432-before-t
Will Bitcoin reach $87654.32 before the end of 2024?
null
1,712,706,428,538
1,731,369,321,313
1,731,369,321,313
YES
0.9824
21,423.022169
Finance
Markets & Trading
VMzDKyTnlLBkir8CVLmV
will-trevor-bauer-start-a-game-in-t-8a4d8f1ff65b
Will Trevor Bauer start a game in the major leagues in the 2024 season?
null
1,696,312,218,411
1,734,042,660,982
1,734,042,660,982
NO
0.015721
7,190.541385
Sports
Professional Sports
vq7h8szbw5
will-this-prediction-market-get-50
will this prediction market get 50 or more traders?
null
1,724,605,957,863
1,727,215,140,000
1,727,252,277,403
NO
0.01
3,447.39336
Finance
Markets & Trading
I9I2pSLRlI
will-my-slay-the-spire-run-defeat-t
Will my Slay the Spire run defeat the Corrupted Heart?
null
1,730,665,451,578
1,730,923,685,002
1,730,923,685,002
NO
0.207582
253
Entertainment
Gaming
ixk5jxk0wu
will-the-amazing-digital-circus-epi-6xe29nuo84
Will The Amazing Digital Circus Episode 3 reach 100 million views by the end of October?
null
1,727,370,368,812
1,730,433,540,000
1,730,441,376,249
NO
0.011493
9,308.475987
Entertainment
Movies & Television
fGWxeNMZnX7hFxc6GVRA
will-a-candidate-that-is-neither-ba
Will a candidate that is neither backed by the Republican Party or the Democratic Party run in the 2024 United States presidential election and receive at least 5% of the national popular vote?
null
1,673,633,672,996
1,735,508,167,828
1,735,508,167,828
NO
0.015942
12,244.745103
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
TX7pLyUUWbcpUljkUtH0
will-katya-lels-teeth-that-were-sto
Will Katya Lel's teeth that were stolen by aliens will be found in 2024
null
1,708,378,636,298
1,728,940,940,630
1,728,940,940,630
NO
0.38
15
Entertainment
Celebrity & Pop Culture
nAlBKpcpYCsjW9OLLG6z
will-destiny-do-an-irl-stream-with
Will Destiny do an IRL stream with Aba during 2024?
null
1,705,315,857,731
1,730,870,831,821
1,730,870,831,821
YES
0.963082
11,450.0511
Entertainment
Celebrity & Pop Culture
q4lc6Kxcp14YTyxHpBVJ
will-balatro-be-nominated-for-any-a
Will Balatro be nominated for any awards at the Game Awards 2024?
null
1,709,288,578,931
1,731,971,778,046
1,731,971,778,046
YES
0.989999
6,410
Entertainment
Gaming
lI0iECKDqSC8LuFAW64p
will-all-of-new-england-vote-as-a-u
Will ALL of New England vote as a unified bloc in the 2024?
null
1,696,614,837,158
1,730,869,140,000
1,730,949,565,899
NO
0.024685
1,264.582731
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
8OdugR6hRO
are-these-two-supposed-pictures-of
Are these two supposed pictures of the United Healthcare CEO assassin actually different people?
null
1,733,452,110,700
1,735,360,056,732
1,735,360,056,732
NO
0.007962
56,511.975885
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
L2L5gssUzc
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-5-ev
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 5 [EV+]
null
1,731,153,892,381
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,307,025,753
NO
0.49995
6
Finance
Markets & Trading
4ss19fez8v
will-pete-rose-be-inducted-into-the
Will Pete Rose be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame by the end of 2024?
null
1,729,394,336,721
1,729,440,702,246
1,729,440,702,246
NO
0.02
565
Sports
Professional Sports
qndq34ieh6
trump-leads-5-or-more-swing-states
Trump leads 5 or more swing states in polls on Election day? (President Election)
null
1,729,141,257,194
1,730,842,345,561
1,730,842,345,561
YES
0.749178
401
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
fDlYte4sIfyatPnCUjON
will-shekel-vs-dollar-reach-40-in-2
Will Shekel vs Dollar reach 4.0 in 2024?
null
1,708,628,645,054
1,735,682,340,000
1,735,683,276,532
NO
0.051596
5,609.108691
Finance
Markets & Trading
OWRmX9Q0pIj7ziPMJsY0
nfl-week-12-nov-24-2024-will-the-ne
NFL Week 12 (Nov 24 2024): Will the New York Giants (home) beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (away)?
null
1,715,834,426,991
1,732,581,889,467
1,732,581,889,467
NO
0.01
895.310499
Sports
Professional Sports
Rfr34B7xtudnufU50rts
will-either-joe-biden-or-donald-tru-35b07ca5429c
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump die before the 2024 Presidential election?
null
1,696,962,811,139
1,730,800,874,965
1,730,800,874,965
NO
0.014205
142,782.093947
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
v1tGPyNiqrpJKSGEWbdG
was-amelia-earhearts-plane-just-dis
Was Amelia Earheart's plane just discovered in the Pacific?
null
1,706,562,165,199
1,732,518,477,277
1,732,518,477,277
NO
0.09398
8,759.015548
Sports
Individual Sports
dgAwNqeOgcdOxIz93xYm
will-prince-william-and-kate-middle
Will Prince William and Kate Middleton divorce before Halloween 2024?
null
1,710,268,162,448
1,730,429,228,445
1,730,429,228,445
NO
0.010006
8,896.167408
Celebrity & Pop Culture
Celebrity & Pop Culture
7bgfqhbrzy
will-i-loose-power-again-do-to-this
Will I loose power again do to this other hurricane potentially forming right after Helen (Greenville, SC)?
null
1,727,723,107,615
1,729,095,924,885
1,729,095,924,885
NO
0.1
2,100
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
Q4C8r3fPL9TwQptr8bRB
will-trump-say-ai-is-a-problem-duri
Will Trump say AI is a problem during a presidential debate?
null
1,705,287,634,698
1,731,695,076,568
1,731,695,076,568
NO
0.029697
13,338.843351
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
h9XBkQzxDbbpmbWf096X
will-there-be-protests-in-egypt-aga
Will there be protests in Egypt against Abdel Fattah El-Sisi's government in 2024?
null
1,707,308,541,331
1,734,483,092,154
1,734,483,092,154
YES
0.077051
797.557996
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
rl9bg6s0h1
weekly-tug-of-war-eep30o08pw
Weekly Tug of War
null
1,729,090,606,130
1,729,400,340,000
1,729,432,958,670
YES
0.95
385
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation
ZzN2O80q8A
will-the-daily-coinflip-on-tuesday
Will the Daily Coinflip on Tuesday 5th correspond to the result of the 2024 USA election? (Head-Harris or Tails-Trump)
null
1,730,631,290,750
1,730,964,217,814
1,730,964,217,814
YES
0.945094
6,195.216905
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
YqlD5Wdhh9Z9wVIqV87i
will-rashee-rice-play-in-at-least-9
Will Rashee Rice play in at least 9 games this season?
null
1,712,001,711,420
1,732,910,898,556
1,732,910,898,556
NO
0.01
27,588.654425
Sports
Professional Sports
svEg1wLfMMFMHaZLvdgD
will-the-candidate-who-wins-nebrask
Will the candidate who wins Nebraska's second Congressional district win the 2024 POTUS election?
null
1,690,287,478,114
1,730,879,022,436
1,730,879,022,436
NO
0.05252
646.36193
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
sQWNEnG9R7P8sSMJRAXh
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-21512a78f5f2
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Virginia?
null
1,690,201,669,120
1,730,951,463,429
1,730,951,463,429
NO
0.010014
1,119.518271
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
10fw8na1kp
will-a-theatergoer-require-hospital
Will a theater-goer require hospitalization or medical care as a result of watching Alien: Romulus?
null
1,723,657,337,060
1,727,047,550,973
1,727,047,550,973
NO
0.01
820.172233
Entertainment
Movies & Television
QdEHOBdqQqiejrgIAFvj
will-an-llm-be-integrated-into-a-ma
Will an LLM be integrated into a major smart assistant (i.e., Google, Siri, Alexa, Bixby) before the end of 2024?
null
1,702,980,283,213
1,735,649,940,000
1,735,660,358,884
YES
0.925689
496.880834
Technology
Emerging Technologies
403qm3lmib
will-joker-folie-a-deux-have-a-high
Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" have a higher Rotten Tomatoes audience score than "The LEGO Batman Movie"? (>80%)
null
1,727,904,778,063
1,728,716,340,000
1,728,748,357,840
NO
0.01
1,079.612064
Entertainment
Movies & Television
YlazKIbzJWNzCExjKuk3
will-trump-win-either-35-of-the-his
Will Trump win either 35% of the Hispanic/Latino vote or 15% of the black vote in 2024?
null
1,705,720,604,302
1,730,907,722,239
1,730,907,722,239
YES
0.890257
1,498.864575
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
3Xv3G1DtLTBvzYe6NN1L
will-ai-be-a-time-person-of-the-yea-dd9e7fd2782d
Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2024?
null
1,694,285,419,451
1,733,115,540,000
1,734,917,407,764
NO
0.114558
1,413.770046
Technology
Emerging Technologies
ubudklg9qv
will-ohnepixels-team-drillas-make-i
Will ohnePixel's team DRILLAS make it to the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 Main Event?
null
1,725,353,453,784
1,731,495,809,548
1,731,495,809,548
NO
0.01
920.442486
Sports
Professional Sports
Viz4fjOIiFatLq0m8WEx
20240906-will-amzn-close-above-217
2024-09-06: Will AMZN close above $217?
null
1,717,529,926,384
1,725,681,540,000
1,727,804,230,002
NO
0.01
899.860139
Finance
Markets & Trading
1mfow9xsin
-shortfuse-2-in-5-odds-iarittw727
🧨 Short-fuse 2 in 5 odds
null
1,726,985,720,040
1,727,000,119,638
1,727,000,202,038
NO
null
160
Sports
Team Sports
h6yponj0ko
will-manifold-think-that-sweeps-cas
Will Manifold users think that sweepstakes markets are real money markets?
null
1,726,533,324,846
1,729,558,055,785
1,729,558,055,785
YES
0.95
9,184.862676
Finance
Markets & Trading
CSRZANUpUg
daily-coinflip-Ih66zIEshh
Daily coinflip 🔧
null
1,732,085,805,436
1,732,251,540,000
1,732,294,474,366
NO
0.5
3,167.999002
Gaming
Gaming Culture
ms30gHCwcuvanZhf1qMY
will-belarus-openly-enter-the-russo
Will Belarus openly enter the Russo-Ukrainian war?
null
1,691,152,320,949
1,735,673,385,222
1,735,673,385,222
NO
0.081478
12,460.821686
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
ppQ8AQny8S
will-adam-finish-incrimination-by-t
Will Adam finish incrimination by tonight?
null
1,732,320,597,764
1,732,377,560,486
1,732,377,560,486
NO
0.525624
40
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
tPdjseGBw868qBobF6Cx
will-gpt-be-said-by-anyone-in-a-pre
Will "GPT" be said by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024?
null
1,711,584,253,127
1,730,433,540,000
1,730,746,165,948
NO
0.010051
126,024.892154
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
QJslgIQGPJx3xpZjJRc2
will-the-value-of-bitcoin-pass-100k
Will the value of Bitcoin pass 100k USD by the end of 2024?
null
1,642,047,822,269
1,733,519,720,974
1,733,519,720,974
YES
0.99
48,662.686734
Finance
Markets & Trading
1ocB06kwCL8Mg5tr7v7s
will-september-2024-be-the-hottest-6d585fc6ed85
NOAA - Will September 2024 be the hottest September on record? (Global)
null
1,715,703,245,392
1,729,792,500,620
1,729,792,500,620
NO
0.01
14,282.07451
Geopolitics
Regional Affairs
X6oCL4XPG8FzhTeKFqh8
will-manifold-markets-stop-being-we
Will Manifold Markets stop being weird about Jimmy Carter before 2025?
null
1,702,666,582,950
1,735,517,122,983
1,735,517,122,983
NO
0.292758
1,075.361001
Politics
Political Parties & Ideologies
ar1a9yerlz
will-a-bug-be-discovered-in-538s-20
Will a bug be discovered in 538's 2024 presidential forecast that affects it by at least 3% by election day?
null
1,720,820,790,652
1,730,966,340,000
1,731,002,971,657
NO
0.083247
4,858.48326
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
onH9hPVCIC2EPXvuCRIa
will-trump-win-at-least-thirty-stat
Will Trump win at least thirty states?
null
1,682,814,652,644
1,731,201,781,030
1,731,201,781,030
YES
0.910547
3,571.394722
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
zloydwuqsd
will-bitcoin-reach-70000-in-october
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October 2024?
null
1,728,188,705,109
1,730,158,001,820
1,730,158,001,820
YES
0.99
1,510.204123
Finance
Markets & Trading
pgRlI5IZIL
will-i-restrict-my-foodbuying-behav
Will I restrict my food-buying behaviour in line with the rules of this market until the end of the year?
null
1,730,127,258,043
1,735,684,785,173
1,735,684,785,173
YES
0.952104
4,085
Finance
Personal Finance