id
stringlengths 9
20
| market_slug
stringlengths 5
54
| question
stringlengths 10
193
| firstGroup
float64 | createdTime
int64 1,641B
1,735B
| closeTime
int64 1,704B
1,736B
| resolvedTime
int64 1,727B
1,736B
| resolution
stringclasses 2
values | resolutionProbability
float64 0
1
⌀ | volume
float64 1k
3.75M
| pred_category
stringclasses 11
values | pred_subcategory
stringclasses 38
values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
obewzSutKpgMo9y8SrWH
|
if-the-republican-nominee-wins-ariz
|
If the Republican nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| null | 1,690,425,818,556
| 1,731,431,333,970
| 1,731,431,333,970
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,392.89144
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
c5SOzUZAhA
|
will-the-winnipeg-jets-have-34-poin--cash
|
Will the Winnipeg Jets have 34 points by end of November
| null | 1,729,872,650,571
| 1,732,409,671,577
| 1,732,578,465,421
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,280.06872
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
DuptY9J28bn5jqM4SWRI
|
will-adam-schiff-win-the-2024-senat
|
Will Adam Schiff win the 2024 senate seat in California?
| null | 1,680,635,170,825
| 1,733,253,275,103
| 1,733,253,275,103
|
YES
| 0.99
| 6,174.734452
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5w2nutur4o
|
if-kamala-harris-debates-donald-tru
|
Will Kamala Harris win the debate against Trump? (based on polls)
| null | 1,720,309,280,670
| 1,726,862,976,462
| 1,726,862,976,462
|
YES
| 0.99
| 171,935.719882
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
T452czizPGGSbCUGxDnV
|
is-going-to-be-a-al-smith-dinner-wi
|
Will there be a Al Smith dinner with both presidential candidates attending and delivering stand-up routines in 2024?
| null | 1,690,077,781,583
| 1,729,471,331,416
| 1,729,471,331,416
|
NO
| 0.17
| 1,489.146596
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
q4L3LSydJzvOQRKDfFwm
|
will-bte-release-an-early-version-o
|
Will @BTE release an early version of his Manifold competitor by Christmas?
| null | 1,702,017,915,857
| 1,703,566,740,000
| 1,733,719,876,441
|
NO
| 0.084702
| 2,885.265053
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
93ub0uqehz
|
conservative-party-leadership-conte-t74g95grt5
|
Conservative Party leadership contest - will it go to the members?
| null | 1,722,249,032,379
| 1,728,860,340,000
| 1,728,896,480,020
|
YES
| 0.99
| 13,352.016593
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
a3vve5zfnw
|
will-brazil-unban-x-before-october
|
Will Brazil unban X before October?
| null | 1,725,356,729,438
| 1,728,028,568,699
| 1,728,028,568,699
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,398.577629
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
wt4d9y4dzo
|
will-donald-trump-use-the-fifty-cen
|
Will Donald Trump use the Fifty Cent song "Many Men" in any public appearance during the 2024 campaign?
| null | 1,721,009,830,813
| 1,730,846,294,330
| 1,730,846,294,330
|
NO
| 0.009894
| 118,368.663925
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CfGVdb4Kc1i6uG3CJ4h1
|
will-tom-brady-endorse-trump
|
Will Tom Brady endorse Trump?
| null | 1,668,664,664,132
| 1,730,926,092,894
| 1,730,926,092,894
|
NO
| 0.01
| 14,254.3687
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ghYFFOJMMN20wBqRIdSD
|
hn-hiring-trends-will-hiring-outnum-9dbca1d59983
|
HN Hiring Trends: Will "hiring" outnumber "looking" before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,697,371,158,617
| 1,735,656,831,849
| 1,735,656,831,849
|
NO
| 0.027207
| 6,596.874132
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
DdSwShjXEfuwuY4DeNMk
|
will-a-category-3-or-greater-hurric-f7bebc1ae65b
|
Will a Category 3 or greater hurricane make landfall in Florida during 2024?
| null | 1,704,828,755,718
| 1,727,465,039,221
| 1,727,465,039,221
|
YES
| 0.99
| 26,307.460017
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
zkfrgvp91o
|
-shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-2zcriigoqr
|
🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds
| null | 1,727,043,663,967
| 1,727,058,063,542
| 1,727,058,145,609
|
NO
| null | 1,037.801319
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
tsr1tqausf
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-xx6rheb05d
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 1 than it closed on Sept 30?
| null | 1,727,726,780,345
| 1,727,812,918,118
| 1,727,812,918,118
|
NO
| 0.02
| 1,838.257223
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
xQ5XItczkaGZEzSQ2UU0
|
will-dragons-dogma-2-win-any-awards
|
Will Dragon's Dogma 2 win any awards at the Game Awards 2024?
| null | 1,709,288,711,296
| 1,734,061,645,527
| 1,734,061,645,527
|
NO
| 0.010049
| 1,288.55416
|
Gaming
|
Video Games
|
8s0O6qsN0s
|
will-the-neurips-poster-printing-se
|
Will the NeurIPS poster printing service have our poster ready in time?
| null | 1,734,106,799,757
| 1,734,115,950,495
| 1,734,115,950,495
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,661.635643
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
qtD9uG3hXeNW2XVXyPMR
|
will-any-2024-us-senate-election-be
|
Will any 2024 U.S. Senate election be won without the majority of the vote?
| null | 1,689,382,967,822
| 1,733,032,740,000
| 1,733,044,425,469
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,294.916164
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
9i6zaAWEubEy3lFi1ZWS
|
will-matt-gaetz-be-reelected-in-nov
|
Will Matt Gaetz be re-elected in November 2024?
| null | 1,697,133,998,706
| 1,730,782,740,000
| 1,732,943,725,989
|
YES
| 0.97225
| 1,378.07615
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
v8alcq880o
|
will-republicans-lead-in-the-final
|
Will Republicans lead in the final 538 House forecast?
| null | 1,729,296,007,453
| 1,730,696,340,000
| 1,730,821,664,037
|
NO
| 0.766257
| 1,574.926875
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
pU4xeOHpftaMGFT17zfg
|
will-bitcoin-reach-8765432-before-t
|
Will Bitcoin reach $87654.32 before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,712,706,428,538
| 1,731,369,321,313
| 1,731,369,321,313
|
YES
| 0.9824
| 21,423.022169
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
VMzDKyTnlLBkir8CVLmV
|
will-trevor-bauer-start-a-game-in-t-8a4d8f1ff65b
|
Will Trevor Bauer start a game in the major leagues in the 2024 season?
| null | 1,696,312,218,411
| 1,734,042,660,982
| 1,734,042,660,982
|
NO
| 0.015721
| 7,190.541385
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
vq7h8szbw5
|
will-this-prediction-market-get-50
|
will this prediction market get 50 or more traders?
| null | 1,724,605,957,863
| 1,727,215,140,000
| 1,727,252,277,403
|
NO
| 0.01
| 3,447.39336
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ixk5jxk0wu
|
will-the-amazing-digital-circus-epi-6xe29nuo84
|
Will The Amazing Digital Circus Episode 3 reach 100 million views by the end of October?
| null | 1,727,370,368,812
| 1,730,433,540,000
| 1,730,441,376,249
|
NO
| 0.011493
| 9,308.475987
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
fGWxeNMZnX7hFxc6GVRA
|
will-a-candidate-that-is-neither-ba
|
Will a candidate that is neither backed by the Republican Party or the Democratic Party run in the 2024 United States presidential election and receive at least 5% of the national popular vote?
| null | 1,673,633,672,996
| 1,735,508,167,828
| 1,735,508,167,828
|
NO
| 0.015942
| 12,244.745103
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nAlBKpcpYCsjW9OLLG6z
|
will-destiny-do-an-irl-stream-with
|
Will Destiny do an IRL stream with Aba during 2024?
| null | 1,705,315,857,731
| 1,730,870,831,821
| 1,730,870,831,821
|
YES
| 0.963082
| 11,450.0511
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
q4lc6Kxcp14YTyxHpBVJ
|
will-balatro-be-nominated-for-any-a
|
Will Balatro be nominated for any awards at the Game Awards 2024?
| null | 1,709,288,578,931
| 1,731,971,778,046
| 1,731,971,778,046
|
YES
| 0.989999
| 6,410
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
lI0iECKDqSC8LuFAW64p
|
will-all-of-new-england-vote-as-a-u
|
Will ALL of New England vote as a unified bloc in the 2024?
| null | 1,696,614,837,158
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,949,565,899
|
NO
| 0.024685
| 1,264.582731
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8OdugR6hRO
|
are-these-two-supposed-pictures-of
|
Are these two supposed pictures of the United Healthcare CEO assassin actually different people?
| null | 1,733,452,110,700
| 1,735,360,056,732
| 1,735,360,056,732
|
NO
| 0.007962
| 56,511.975885
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
fDlYte4sIfyatPnCUjON
|
will-shekel-vs-dollar-reach-40-in-2
|
Will Shekel vs Dollar reach 4.0 in 2024?
| null | 1,708,628,645,054
| 1,735,682,340,000
| 1,735,683,276,532
|
NO
| 0.051596
| 5,609.108691
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
Rfr34B7xtudnufU50rts
|
will-either-joe-biden-or-donald-tru-35b07ca5429c
|
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump die before the 2024 Presidential election?
| null | 1,696,962,811,139
| 1,730,800,874,965
| 1,730,800,874,965
|
NO
| 0.014205
| 142,782.093947
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
v1tGPyNiqrpJKSGEWbdG
|
was-amelia-earhearts-plane-just-dis
|
Was Amelia Earheart's plane just discovered in the Pacific?
| null | 1,706,562,165,199
| 1,732,518,477,277
| 1,732,518,477,277
|
NO
| 0.09398
| 8,759.015548
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
dgAwNqeOgcdOxIz93xYm
|
will-prince-william-and-kate-middle
|
Will Prince William and Kate Middleton divorce before Halloween 2024?
| null | 1,710,268,162,448
| 1,730,429,228,445
| 1,730,429,228,445
|
NO
| 0.010006
| 8,896.167408
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
7bgfqhbrzy
|
will-i-loose-power-again-do-to-this
|
Will I loose power again do to this other hurricane potentially forming right after Helen (Greenville, SC)?
| null | 1,727,723,107,615
| 1,729,095,924,885
| 1,729,095,924,885
|
NO
| 0.1
| 2,100
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
Q4C8r3fPL9TwQptr8bRB
|
will-trump-say-ai-is-a-problem-duri
|
Will Trump say AI is a problem during a presidential debate?
| null | 1,705,287,634,698
| 1,731,695,076,568
| 1,731,695,076,568
|
NO
| 0.029697
| 13,338.843351
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ZzN2O80q8A
|
will-the-daily-coinflip-on-tuesday
|
Will the Daily Coinflip on Tuesday 5th correspond to the result of the 2024 USA election? (Head-Harris or Tails-Trump)
| null | 1,730,631,290,750
| 1,730,964,217,814
| 1,730,964,217,814
|
YES
| 0.945094
| 6,195.216905
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
YqlD5Wdhh9Z9wVIqV87i
|
will-rashee-rice-play-in-at-least-9
|
Will Rashee Rice play in at least 9 games this season?
| null | 1,712,001,711,420
| 1,732,910,898,556
| 1,732,910,898,556
|
NO
| 0.01
| 27,588.654425
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
sQWNEnG9R7P8sSMJRAXh
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-21512a78f5f2
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Virginia?
| null | 1,690,201,669,120
| 1,730,951,463,429
| 1,730,951,463,429
|
NO
| 0.010014
| 1,119.518271
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
403qm3lmib
|
will-joker-folie-a-deux-have-a-high
|
Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" have a higher Rotten Tomatoes audience score than "The LEGO Batman Movie"? (>80%)
| null | 1,727,904,778,063
| 1,728,716,340,000
| 1,728,748,357,840
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,079.612064
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
YlazKIbzJWNzCExjKuk3
|
will-trump-win-either-35-of-the-his
|
Will Trump win either 35% of the Hispanic/Latino vote or 15% of the black vote in 2024?
| null | 1,705,720,604,302
| 1,730,907,722,239
| 1,730,907,722,239
|
YES
| 0.890257
| 1,498.864575
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
3Xv3G1DtLTBvzYe6NN1L
|
will-ai-be-a-time-person-of-the-yea-dd9e7fd2782d
|
Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2024?
| null | 1,694,285,419,451
| 1,733,115,540,000
| 1,734,917,407,764
|
NO
| 0.114558
| 1,413.770046
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
h6yponj0ko
|
will-manifold-think-that-sweeps-cas
|
Will Manifold users think that sweepstakes markets are real money markets?
| null | 1,726,533,324,846
| 1,729,558,055,785
| 1,729,558,055,785
|
YES
| 0.95
| 9,184.862676
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
CSRZANUpUg
|
daily-coinflip-Ih66zIEshh
|
Daily coinflip 🔧
| null | 1,732,085,805,436
| 1,732,251,540,000
| 1,732,294,474,366
|
NO
| 0.5
| 3,167.999002
|
Gaming
|
Gaming Culture
|
ms30gHCwcuvanZhf1qMY
|
will-belarus-openly-enter-the-russo
|
Will Belarus openly enter the Russo-Ukrainian war?
| null | 1,691,152,320,949
| 1,735,673,385,222
| 1,735,673,385,222
|
NO
| 0.081478
| 12,460.821686
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
tPdjseGBw868qBobF6Cx
|
will-gpt-be-said-by-anyone-in-a-pre
|
Will "GPT" be said by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024?
| null | 1,711,584,253,127
| 1,730,433,540,000
| 1,730,746,165,948
|
NO
| 0.010051
| 126,024.892154
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
QJslgIQGPJx3xpZjJRc2
|
will-the-value-of-bitcoin-pass-100k
|
Will the value of Bitcoin pass 100k USD by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,642,047,822,269
| 1,733,519,720,974
| 1,733,519,720,974
|
YES
| 0.99
| 48,662.686734
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
1ocB06kwCL8Mg5tr7v7s
|
will-september-2024-be-the-hottest-6d585fc6ed85
|
NOAA - Will September 2024 be the hottest September on record? (Global)
| null | 1,715,703,245,392
| 1,729,792,500,620
| 1,729,792,500,620
|
NO
| 0.01
| 14,282.07451
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
X6oCL4XPG8FzhTeKFqh8
|
will-manifold-markets-stop-being-we
|
Will Manifold Markets stop being weird about Jimmy Carter before 2025?
| null | 1,702,666,582,950
| 1,735,517,122,983
| 1,735,517,122,983
|
NO
| 0.292758
| 1,075.361001
|
Politics
|
Political Parties & Ideologies
|
ar1a9yerlz
|
will-a-bug-be-discovered-in-538s-20
|
Will a bug be discovered in 538's 2024 presidential forecast that affects it by at least 3% by election day?
| null | 1,720,820,790,652
| 1,730,966,340,000
| 1,731,002,971,657
|
NO
| 0.083247
| 4,858.48326
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
onH9hPVCIC2EPXvuCRIa
|
will-trump-win-at-least-thirty-stat
|
Will Trump win at least thirty states?
| null | 1,682,814,652,644
| 1,731,201,781,030
| 1,731,201,781,030
|
YES
| 0.910547
| 3,571.394722
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zloydwuqsd
|
will-bitcoin-reach-70000-in-october
|
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October 2024?
| null | 1,728,188,705,109
| 1,730,158,001,820
| 1,730,158,001,820
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,510.204123
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
pgRlI5IZIL
|
will-i-restrict-my-foodbuying-behav
|
Will I restrict my food-buying behaviour in line with the rules of this market until the end of the year?
| null | 1,730,127,258,043
| 1,735,684,785,173
| 1,735,684,785,173
|
YES
| 0.952104
| 4,085
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
ya0g6y7d51
|
will-astro-bot-be-nominated-for-gam
|
Will Astro Bot be nominated for Game of the Year at the Game Awards 2024?
| null | 1,725,580,863,421
| 1,731,973,033,151
| 1,731,973,033,151
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,338
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
5edOcHjoJJkqNg8LsZm5
|
was-sam-altman-fired-because-the-bo
|
Was Sam Altman fired because the board suspected he'd created an undisclosed AGI?
| null | 1,700,332,627,144
| 1,732,597,140,000
| 1,732,635,216,268
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,266.336157
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
7S4ZLNY83IjRW0myKYlr
|
will-yaya-sinwar-founder-of-hamas-s
|
Will Yahya Sinwar, founder of Hamas, survive 2024?
| null | 1,704,183,004,143
| 1,729,188,258,930
| 1,729,188,258,930
|
NO
| 0.01
| 40,366.791625
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
ukksz6xkhg
|
will-i-lose-20-lbs-after-taking-sem
|
Will I lose 20+ lbs after taking semaglutide for 3 months?
| null | 1,718,690,901,976
| 1,733,884,634,322
| 1,734,810,000,599
|
YES
| 0.930713
| 69,150.065829
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
B3BHjmnvaHghoPfFYXdY
|
will-jimmy-carter-live-to-be-101-ye
|
Will Jimmy Carter live to be 101 years old?
| null | 1,706,925,944,132
| 1,735,515,637,133
| 1,735,515,637,133
|
NO
| 0.001843
| 112,193.073623
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
2yG3lHlsbljnoVN9g1vm
|
will-the-uk-outright-maximum-temper-caf1a1ce51b7
|
Will the UK outright maximum temperature record be broken in 2024?
| null | 1,713,873,967,415
| 1,727,737,140,000
| 1,727,769,364,434
|
NO
| 0.02
| 8,356.494716
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
UCPATFk6PvGFyGO4HHYw
|
will-ukraine-hold-a-presidential-el-ccf6c4403856
|
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2024?
| null | 1,681,601,413,986
| 1,735,682,340,000
| 1,735,686,144,686
|
NO
| 0.021999
| 15,862.294647
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
6MnAFWfug0nwuGqLkFHr
|
will-messi-play-for-barcelona-in-20
|
Will Messi play for Barcelona in 2024?
| null | 1,700,160,171,369
| 1,735,621,474,481
| 1,735,621,474,481
|
NO
| 0.01
| 5,152.04349
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
4EWfrvQrdAntQ63H9h7X
|
will-democrats-control-both-the-hou
|
Will Democrats control both the House and Senate after the 2024 elections?
| null | 1,678,978,395,917
| 1,730,872,763,131
| 1,730,872,763,131
|
NO
| 0.048033
| 7,686.537283
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
s8C55P8Udz
|
will-kamala-harris-win-at-least-2-m
|
Will Kamala Harris win at least 2 midwestern "tossup" states but lose the election?
| null | 1,730,057,937,498
| 1,730,890,152,184
| 1,730,890,152,184
|
NO
| 0.060375
| 3,974.852756
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sfs40IUP7RNztlX9pqIY
|
will-any-state-be-decided-by-1-in-t
|
Will any state be decided by <1% in the 2024 election?
| null | 1,686,112,517,920
| 1,731,734,400,456
| 1,731,734,400,456
|
YES
| 0.958087
| 4,829.707606
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tSwDmwrg7EyLT5wye4Nn
|
will-someone-start-a-mana-investing
|
Will someone start a mana investing service on manifold ?
| null | 1,679,896,687,307
| 1,735,649,940,000
| 1,735,657,619,888
|
NO
| 0.16
| 2,062.183203
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
8u5GG1fqTFM11F9H2uI4
|
a-serious-us-presidential-candidate
|
A serious US presidential candidate says they'll take decisive action in the case of near term AI risk.
| null | 1,703,651,695,633
| 1,727,755,140,000
| 1,728,497,592,705
|
NO
| 0.08
| 3,998.682672
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
lv4EIrVzQuPyzDDhb8Zk
|
will-teslas-market-capitalization-s
|
Will Tesla's market capitalization surpass $1 trillion by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,710,183,384,760
| 1,731,340,671,260
| 1,731,340,671,260
|
YES
| 0.99
| 6,799.705843
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
NtJLmBuFkYvppHkxKdla
|
will-sweden-try-to-ban-burning-the-d1fca89c8442
|
Will Sweden try to ban burning the Quran by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,693,574,741,759
| 1,735,658,817,907
| 1,735,658,817,907
|
NO
| 0.01
| 13,632.18021
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
aPh5gZB4GjNJvXN6kju3
|
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres-c6ba0fd09c2f
|
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,707,084,991,518
| 1,730,930,400,000
| 1,730,935,355,049
|
YES
| 0.990439
| 14,813.872218
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
olxab561no
|
will-texas-vote-to-the-left-of-flor
|
Will Texas vote to the left of Florida in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,727,063,254,855
| 1,730,966,340,000
| 1,731,398,543,562
|
NO
| 0.065692
| 1,380.280368
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zGGk95XfaaG2vfRkfrI5
|
nfl-week-7-oct-20-will-the-indianap
|
NFL Week 7 (Oct 20): Will the Indianapolis Colts beat the Miami Dolphins?
| null | 1,715,834,060,313
| 1,729,616,400,000
| 1,729,617,781,031
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,118.862831
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
g17fdXLW8Q7ecnUGo3HS
|
-2024-nfl-will-any-week-3-game-end
|
🏈 2024 NFL: Will any Week 3 game end in Scorigami?
| null | 1,704,865,063,078
| 1,727,153,940,000
| 1,727,190,489,011
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,901.307965
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
ziCXqkkwROw5rLj0Madm
|
will-i-be-on-the-top-traders-leader-f21ee117223b
|
Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before @Conflux is on the "Top creators" one?
| null | 1,682,282,378,452
| 1,727,506,740,000
| 1,729,290,014,939
|
NO
| 0.41
| 3,883.381929
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
kS4r1lVFLWy1FSyxCIDX
|
ryan-binkley-1-in-any-state
|
Ryan Binkley >1% in any state?
| null | 1,706,718,061,293
| 1,731,433,919,523
| 1,731,433,919,523
|
NO
| 0.01
| 11,822.443418
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
xqwy0IYsGYXN4M1xawap
|
will-china-lower-its-one-year-lpr-b
|
Will China lower it’s one year LPR by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,715,937,636,249
| 1,731,855,077,120
| 1,731,855,077,120
|
YES
| 0.988548
| 8,300
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
cf9yl2ftq5
|
oktoberfest-2024-will-more-than-7-m
|
Oktoberfest 2024: Will more than 7 million litres of beer be served again?
| null | 1,720,468,168,171
| 1,728,251,940,000
| 1,731,090,381,234
|
YES
| 0.907102
| 1,027.411134
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
AAfeYptnvrrw7WqZrqIE
|
will-an-aipowered-dating-app-signif
|
Will an AI-powered dating app significantly improve on the current state of the art by October 2024?
| null | 1,695,408,565,580
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,735,526,668,491
|
NO
| 0.01
| 14,861.55794
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
2rohf957l6
|
polymarketlinked-another-iran-strik
|
[Polymarket-linked] Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
| null | 1,727,957,408,705
| 1,730,433,540,000
| 1,730,471,088,316
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,029.906253
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
XHILq95n0pRaYUP8rEre
|
will-amazon-begin-to-accept-bitcoin-b32976b4613d
|
Will Amazon begin to accept Bitcoin as payment by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,704,216,826,490
| 1,735,620,599,772
| 1,735,620,599,772
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,112.073967
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
Z7EUEONSJNDRxuyMRtT9
|
will-lauren-boebert-be-reelected-in
|
Will Lauren Boebert be reelected in CO-3 in 2024?
| null | 1,682,627,211,272
| 1,731,578,824,408
| 1,731,578,824,408
|
NO
| 0.01
| 13,319.170978
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
vftrdorg8t
|
will-the-dodgers-hold-their-positio
|
Will the Dodgers hold their position at #1 in the NL West until the 2024 season ends?
| null | 1,724,798,656,995
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,727,862,706,517
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,000.30796
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
pzvggnphmx
|
daily-coinflip-zjldimov3r
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,727,498,157,053
| 1,727,668,740,000
| 1,727,668,993,556
|
YES
| 0.51
| 3,941.058064
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
RCas79XNbs14nMSU9EJ1
|
will-bluesky-have-more-active-users
|
Will Bluesky have more active users than Mastodon by the end of 2025?
| null | 1,681,340,519,384
| 1,731,787,481,198
| 1,731,787,481,198
|
YES
| 0.939044
| 3,334.08601
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
abIh4e7qq7i6h3YuZMuL
|
nfl-week-10-nov-10-2024-will-the-ja
|
NFL Week 10 (Nov 10 2024): Will the Jacksonville Jaguars (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,206,918
| 1,731,434,400,000
| 1,731,444,976,567
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,547.431066
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
c0ke8prg7l
|
will-destiny-reach-836k-subscribers
|
Will Destiny reach 836k subscribers in October 2024?
| null | 1,727,780,313,918
| 1,730,406,564,589
| 1,730,406,564,589
|
YES
| 0.99
| 14,558.266684
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
xe4uknd0b2
|
will-kamala-harris-hold-a-gun-befor
|
Will Kamala Harris hold a gun before election day?
| null | 1,727,367,524,316
| 1,730,793,540,000
| 1,730,807,900,359
|
NO
| 0.012966
| 46,630.094172
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5LMtbQdW7OLA9RepTSGQ
|
will-trump-debate-chris-christie-be
|
Will Trump debate Chris Christie before the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,693,178,861,014
| 1,731,016,644,956
| 1,731,016,644,956
|
NO
| 0.01
| 25,409.18188
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
qxw2x1200j
|
will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-when-thi-y8brq09824
|
Will Jimmy Carter be alive when this market rolls a critical hit? [Round 2]
| null | 1,725,230,940,253
| 1,735,546,115,903
| 1,735,546,115,903
|
NO
| 0.000359
| 48,282.660676
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
0CLsI06LQq
|
bitcoin-above-100k-on-thanksgiving
|
Bitcoin above $100K on Thanksgiving?
| null | 1,732,271,243,487
| 1,732,867,140,000
| 1,732,869,550,305
|
NO
| 0.01
| 41,969.675137
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
lFx5LHHUTgHnQPquiOMs
|
will-rafael-nadal-win-another-grand
|
Will Rafael Nadal win another Grand Slam before his retirement?
| null | 1,675,748,777,899
| 1,732,187,538,962
| 1,732,187,538,962
|
NO
| 0.01
| 32,990.519117
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
Bj4qzznw7s0EU6CVs1E1
|
2024-formula-1-season-will-alphatau
|
[2024 Formula 1 season] Will Alphatauri place 6th or higher in the Constructor's Championship?
| null | 1,701,164,988,550
| 1,733,785,140,000
| 1,734,456,842,664
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,205.520771
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
7BgsaIoCypFtsmLyOaPS
|
will-donald-trump-win-pennsylvanias
|
Will Donald Trump win Pennsylvania's vote in the 2024 election?
| null | 1,705,520,178,092
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,731,015,242,168
|
YES
| 0.786711
| 2,332.226532
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
e57TDHWppKoAIYpiQ3RB
|
a-prominent-selfidentifying-effecti-204d54edac81
|
A prominent self-identifying Effective Altruist endorses Ron DeSantis for president in 2024.
| null | 1,673,827,691,763
| 1,728,480,416,480
| 1,728,480,416,480
|
NO
| 0.07
| 1,164.339408
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
U5rW8rhQ0Ubz4WgkHRhk
|
will-andrew-yang-run-for-president
|
Will Andrew Yang run for President in 2024?
| null | 1,645,567,467,785
| 1,730,851,200,000
| 1,730,853,563,992
|
NO
| 0.0104
| 14,383.025044
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
fGJCQKECWG6zBTnCp5AO
|
will-i-get-a-job-in-2024
|
Will I get a job in 2024?
| null | 1,714,995,170,520
| 1,727,104,277,004
| 1,727,104,277,004
|
YES
| 0.7
| 2,558.100184
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
k27w447iph
|
will-trump-win-all-3-of-the-blue-wa
|
Will Trump win all 3 of the "Blue Wall" states (MI, WI, PA) in the 2024 Presidential Election?
| null | 1,721,138,573,607
| 1,730,949,725,055
| 1,730,949,725,055
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,110.315473
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
GKbJfyuoI73hFR0lJNjs
|
will-the-legend-of-zelda-tears-of-t-655657f122e5
|
Will 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' have outsold 'Super Smash Bros. Ultimate' at any point before 2025?
| null | 1,684,687,858,293
| 1,735,661,016,103
| 1,735,661,016,103
|
NO
| 0.010003
| 3,438.06991
|
Gaming
|
Video Games
|
0ccCnSCtNn
|
will-luigi-mangione-plead-guilty-to
|
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty to murder?
| null | 1,734,599,320,593
| 1,734,976,829,072
| 1,734,976,829,072
|
NO
| 0.01455
| 9,137.484158
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
pcebwFjgLiX1rvvzxaJn
|
will-balenciaga-register-an-increas
|
Will BALENCIAGA register an increase in sales of their puffer jackets due to the recent AI generated images going viral?
| null | 1,681,123,001,185
| 1,710,950,340,000
| 1,732,829,534,098
|
NO
| 0.042878
| 2,147.430334
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
PIQwy7iKnBqnfix3bNZo
|
in-oldschool-runescape-will-a-new-l
|
In Oldschool Runescape, will a new league start before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,708,005,354,223
| 1,733,445,205,335
| 1,733,445,205,335
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,440.892816
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
ytjitpo1eg
|
will-one-candidate-win-at-least-57
|
Will one candidate win at least 5/7 tossup states?
| null | 1,726,164,899,746
| 1,730,951,729,675
| 1,730,951,729,675
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,952.154808
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Via4uNfnVM4XTwwGolZp
|
will-a-play-money-alternative-to-ma
|
Will a play money alternative to manifold appear before 2025?
| null | 1,713,839,594,814
| 1,730,459,202,203
| 1,730,459,202,203
|
YES
| 0.981761
| 11,178.551712
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.