poll_date
stringdate
2026-03-03 00:00:00
2026-08-31 00:00:00
institute
stringclasses
23 values
register_tse
stringclasses
52 values
candidate
stringclasses
6 values
poll_pct
float64
1
47
polymarket_pct
float64
0.15
65.5
polymarket_date
stringclasses
48 values
divergence_pp
float64
-13.65
26.5
2026-03-03
Real Time Big Data/Record
Encomendada pela Record
Lula
39
63.5
20/08/2026
24.5
2026-03-03
Real Time Big Data/Record
Encomendada pela Record
Flávio
32
32.85
20/08/2026
0.85
2026-03-03
Real Time Big Data/Record
Encomendada pela Record
Zema
2
0.15
20/08/2026
-1.85
2026-03-03
Real Time Big Data/Record
Encomendada pela Record
Renan
2
4.45
20/08/2026
2.45
2026-03-07
Datafolha
Folha de S.Paulo
Lula
39
63.5
20/08/2026
24.5
2026-03-07
Datafolha
Folha de S.Paulo
Flávio
34
32.85
20/08/2026
-1.15
2026-03-07
Datafolha
Folha de S.Paulo
Zema
4
0.15
20/08/2026
-3.85
2026-03-07
Datafolha
Folha de S.Paulo
Renan
3
4.45
20/08/2026
1.45
2026-03-11
Quaest/Genial Investimentos
Genial Investimentos
Lula
37
63.5
20/08/2026
26.5
2026-03-11
Quaest/Genial Investimentos
Genial Investimentos
Flávio
30
32.85
20/08/2026
2.85
2026-03-11
Quaest/Genial Investimentos
Genial Investimentos
Zema
3
0.15
20/08/2026
-2.85
2026-03-11
Quaest/Genial Investimentos
Genial Investimentos
Renan
1
4.45
20/08/2026
3.45
2026-03-25
AtlasIntel/Bloomberg
BR-04227/2026
Lula
45.9
63.5
20/08/2026
17.6
2026-03-25
AtlasIntel/Bloomberg
BR-04227/2026
Flávio
40.1
32.85
20/08/2026
-7.25
2026-03-25
AtlasIntel/Bloomberg
BR-04227/2026
Renan
4.4
4.45
20/08/2026
0.05
2026-03-25
AtlasIntel/Bloomberg
BR-04227/2026
Caiado
3.7
0.35
20/08/2026
-3.35
2026-03-25
AtlasIntel/Bloomberg
BR-04227/2026
Zema
3.1
0.15
20/08/2026
-2.95
2026-03-27
Gerp/AESP
AESP (Assoc. Emissoras SP)
Lula
38
63.5
20/08/2026
25.5
2026-03-27
Gerp/AESP
AESP (Assoc. Emissoras SP)
Flávio
36
32.85
20/08/2026
-3.15
2026-03-27
Gerp/AESP
AESP (Assoc. Emissoras SP)
Zema
3
0.15
20/08/2026
-2.85
2026-03-27
Gerp/AESP
AESP (Assoc. Emissoras SP)
Caiado
3
0.35
20/08/2026
-2.65
2026-03-27
Gerp/AESP
AESP (Assoc. Emissoras SP)
Renan
1
4.45
20/08/2026
3.45
2026-03-30
Paraná Pesquisas
BR-00873/2026
Lula
41.3
63.5
20/08/2026
22.2
2026-03-30
Paraná Pesquisas
BR-00873/2026
Flávio
37.8
32.85
20/08/2026
-4.95
2026-03-30
Paraná Pesquisas
BR-00873/2026
Caiado
3.6
0.35
20/08/2026
-3.25
2026-03-30
Paraná Pesquisas
BR-00873/2026
Zema
3
0.15
20/08/2026
-2.85
2026-03-30
Paraná Pesquisas
BR-00873/2026
Renan
1.2
4.45
20/08/2026
3.25
2026-03-30
Nexus/BTG Pactual
BR-07875/2026
Lula
41
63.5
20/08/2026
22.5
2026-03-30
Nexus/BTG Pactual
BR-07875/2026
Flávio
38
32.85
20/08/2026
-5.15
2026-03-30
Nexus/BTG Pactual
BR-07875/2026
Zema
4
0.15
20/08/2026
-3.85
2026-03-30
Nexus/BTG Pactual
BR-07875/2026
Caiado
4
0.35
20/08/2026
-3.65
2026-03-30
Nexus/BTG Pactual
BR-07875/2026
Renan
2
4.45
20/08/2026
2.45
2026-05-05
Real Time Big Data
BR-03627/2026
Lula
40
36.5
2026-05-05
-3.5
2026-05-05
Real Time Big Data
BR-03627/2026
Flávio
34
44.05
2026-05-05
10.05
2026-05-05
Real Time Big Data
BR-03627/2026
Caiado
5
1.15
2026-05-05
-3.85
2026-05-05
Real Time Big Data
BR-03627/2026
Zema
4
4.65
2026-05-05
0.65
2026-05-05
Real Time Big Data
BR-03627/2026
Renan
3
5.45
2026-05-05
2.45
2026-05-07
Paraná Pesquisas
null
Flávio
39.3
45
2026-05-07
5.7
2026-05-07
Paraná Pesquisas
null
Lula
36
37.5
2026-05-07
1.5
2026-05-08
Paraná Pesquisas
null
Flávio
44.6
43.85
2026-05-08
-0.75
2026-05-08
Paraná Pesquisas
null
Lula
29.8
37.5
2026-05-08
7.7
2026-05-13
Quaest/Genial
null
Lula
39
45.5
2026-05-13
6.5
2026-05-13
Quaest/Genial
null
Flávio
33
28.45
2026-05-13
-4.55
2026-05-13
Quaest/Genial
null
Caiado
4
1.25
2026-05-13
-2.75
2026-05-13
Quaest/Genial
null
Zema
4
12
2026-05-13
8
2026-05-15
Datafolha
BR-00290/2026
Lula
39
42.5
2026-05-15
3.5
2026-05-15
Datafolha
BR-00290/2026
Flávio
35
33.35
2026-05-15
-1.65
2026-05-19
AtlasIntel
null
Lula
47
44.5
2026-05-19
-2.5
2026-05-19
AtlasIntel
null
Flávio
34.3
31.3
2026-05-19
-3
2026-05-20
Vox Brasil
null
Lula
46.8
44.5
2026-05-19
-2.3
2026-05-20
Vox Brasil
null
Flávio
38.1
31.3
2026-05-19
-6.8
2026-05-22
Datafolha
null
Lula
40
45.5
2026-05-22
5.5
2026-05-22
Datafolha
null
Flávio
31
28.05
2026-05-22
-2.95
2026-05-27
Indexa Pesquisas
null
Lula
39
40.5
2026-05-27
1.5
2026-05-27
Indexa Pesquisas
null
Flávio
30
28.75
2026-05-27
-1.25
2026-05-28
Meio/Ideia
BR-02918/2026
Lula
38.5
41.5
2026-05-28
3
2026-05-28
Meio/Ideia
BR-02918/2026
Flávio
31.5
28.65
2026-05-28
-2.85
2026-05-28
Meio/Ideia
BR-02918/2026
Caiado
5.5
1.45
2026-05-28
-4.05
2026-05-28
Meio/Ideia
BR-02918/2026
Zema
2.4
2.85
2026-05-28
0.45
2026-05-28
Meio/Ideia
BR-02918/2026
Renan
2.1
15.05
2026-05-28
12.95
2026-06-01
Real Time Big Data
BR-05864/2026
Lula
38
40.5
2026-06-01
2.5
2026-06-01
Real Time Big Data
BR-05864/2026
Flávio
31
29.2
2026-06-01
-1.8
2026-06-01
Real Time Big Data
BR-05864/2026
Caiado
6
2.6
2026-06-01
-3.4
2026-06-01
Real Time Big Data
BR-05864/2026
Renan
6
16.8
2026-06-01
10.8
2026-06-01
Real Time Big Data
BR-05864/2026
Zema
4
2.8
2026-06-01
-1.2
2026-06-05
Vox Brasil
BR-08016/2026
Lula
42.1
41.5
2026-06-05
-0.6
2026-06-05
Vox Brasil
BR-08016/2026
Flávio
33.6
28.2
2026-06-05
-5.4
2026-06-05
Vox Brasil
BR-08016/2026
Caiado
6.9
2.35
2026-06-05
-4.55
2026-06-10
Quaest/Genial
null
Lula
39
44.5
2026-06-10
5.5
2026-06-10
Quaest/Genial
null
Flávio
29
28.65
2026-06-10
-0.35
2026-06-10
Quaest/Genial
null
Renan
3
16.65
2026-06-10
13.65
2026-06-10
Quaest/Genial
null
Caiado
3
1.75
2026-06-10
-1.25
2026-06-10
Quaest/Genial
null
Zema
2
1.85
2026-06-10
-0.15
2026-06-15
BTG/Nexus
BR-06645/2026
Lula
42
51.5
2026-06-15
9.5
2026-06-15
BTG/Nexus
BR-06645/2026
Flávio
33
25.55
2026-06-15
-7.45
2026-06-16
CNT/MDA
BR-04256/2026
Lula
41.8
51.5
2026-06-16
9.7
2026-06-16
CNT/MDA
BR-04256/2026
Flávio
28.2
25.35
2026-06-16
-2.85
2026-06-16
CNT/MDA
BR-04256/2026
Caiado
4
1.95
2026-06-16
-2.05
2026-06-16
CNT/MDA
BR-04256/2026
Zema
2.8
1.35
2026-06-16
-1.45
2026-06-16
CNT/MDA
BR-04256/2026
Renan
2
14.05
2026-06-16
12.05
2026-06-16
Futura/Apex
BR-01461/2026
Lula
41.6
51.5
2026-06-16
9.9
2026-06-16
Futura/Apex
BR-01461/2026
Flávio
34.1
25.35
2026-06-16
-8.75
2026-06-20
Datafolha
BR-09956/2026
Lula
41
51.5
2026-06-20
10.5
2026-06-20
Datafolha
BR-09956/2026
Flávio
31
25.05
2026-06-20
-5.95
2026-06-20
Datafolha
BR-09956/2026
Caiado
3
2.25
2026-06-20
-0.75
2026-06-20
Datafolha
BR-09956/2026
Renan
3
14.35
2026-06-20
11.35
2026-06-20
Datafolha
BR-09956/2026
Zema
2
1.45
2026-06-20
-0.55
2026-06-23
Indexa Pesquisas
null
Lula
42
53.5
2026-06-23
11.5
2026-06-23
Indexa Pesquisas
null
Flávio
31
25.55
2026-06-23
-5.45
2026-06-24
Gerp
null
Lula
37
57.5
2026-06-24
20.5
2026-06-24
Gerp
null
Flávio
34
22.9
2026-06-24
-11.1
2026-06-25
PoderData/Aya
null
Lula
40
56.5
2026-06-25
16.5
2026-06-25
PoderData/Aya
null
Flávio
36
23.45
2026-06-25
-12.55
2026-06-25
PoderData/Aya
null
Renan
4
11.45
2026-06-25
7.45
2026-06-25
PoderData/Aya
null
Caiado
4
1.65
2026-06-25
-2.35
2026-06-27
Vox Brasil
null
Lula
38.3
56.5
2026-06-27
18.2
2026-06-27
Vox Brasil
null
Flávio
32.2
22.15
2026-06-27
-10.05
2026-06-29
BTG/Nexus
BR-08521/2026
Lula
42
56.5
2026-06-29
14.5
2026-06-29
BTG/Nexus
BR-08521/2026
Flávio
34
23.55
2026-06-29
-10.45
2026-06-29
BTG/Nexus
BR-08521/2026
Caiado
5
1.25
2026-06-29
-3.75